Key points:
Bitcoin rallied to $21,000 on Nov. 4 as bulls tried to reclaim lost ground.
Data from TradingView followed BTC/USD, which surged overnight, hitting a new daily high of $20,683 on the Bitstamp exchange.
The $21,000 sales wall turned out to be ugly
Although this is a lower high so far on the hourly time frame compared to the peaks on Nov. 1 and 2, the move helps erase losses from the Fed's decision to raise rates.
However, with stock sellers piling up requests at this level, the potential for a push above $21,000 is limited.
"If you want to sell, place your order under $21,000," Onchain Edge, a contributor to analytics platform CryptoQuant, wrote in part of a tweet.
Material Indicators, which provides order book data, also found that buy-side orders are fickle friends when it comes to support in the order book.
"That's why I don't believe in a new heavyweight bitcoin buying wall," it commented.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant contributor Maartunn added that market sell orders “still dominate” in the current setup.
“Nothing has really changed other than a drop in Bitcoin’s price,” read part of a Twitter comment that day.
Equity Analyst: "Big guys are loading up"
Beyond cryptocurrencies, one analyst pointed to a potential silver lining for risk assets more broadly in the current environment.
Game of Trades noted that Smart Money Confidence (SMC), a sentiment indicator traditionally used for stocks, is now at "all-time highs."
The high SMC reading coincides with the outperformance of the S&P 500, and given Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets, there may be reasons to be optimistic given the current reading of 0.61.
SMC reached a high of 0.78 in late September and needs to continue its recovery.
"The big boys are charging. Confidence in smart money is at an all-time high," concluded the Game of Trades.
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